Providence
W-L: (14-19) PR = 94.2333Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 H Howard MEAC (26- 8, 94.6) 56-68 1110 A Ce Connecticut NE C ( 2-21, 89.9) 65-40 1115 A Boston Col ACC ( 5-26, 92.9) 70-61 1118 A Northeastern CA ( 8-21, 92.1) 50-45 1121 A Yale IVY ( 7-20, 92.5) 75-64 1124 H Middle Tenn CUSA (17-15, 94.1) 48-54 1125 A Alcorn St SWAC A (16-14, 92.5) 64-33 1130 A Bryant AE (17-11, 93.5) 62-53 1204 H Xavier BE (11-19, 93.8) 47-61 1207 H St. John's BE (21-12, 95.3) 55-62 1210 H Rhode Island A10 (28- 5, 96.1) 51-57 1221 A Georgetown BE (13-17, 94.5) 68-61 1228 H So Carolina SEC (35- 4, 99.2) 55-96 1231 H Connecticut BE (38- 1, 99.3) 53-90 104 A DePaul BE ( 8-24, 93.6) 69-59 108 H Seton Hall BE (20-13, 95.4) 48-58 111 H Villanova BE (25- 8, 96.3) 55-85 114 H Butler BE (13-19, 94.2) 52-62 114 H Butler BE (13-19, 94.2) 52-62 117 A Creighton BE (15-15, 95.0) 80-77 120 H Seton Hall BE (20-13, 95.4) 57-73 127 H Villanova BE (25- 8, 96.3) 68-83 131 H St. John's BE (21-12, 95.3) 57-62 204 H Marquette BE (16-13, 95.1) 61-78 208 A Xavier BE (11-19, 93.8) 66-50 211 A Butler BE (13-19, 94.2) 73-64 214 A Georgetown BE (13-17, 94.5) 59-54 218 A DePaul BE ( 8-24, 93.6) 66-60 222 H Connecticut BE (38- 1, 99.3) 38-81 226 H Creighton BE (15-15, 95.0) 49-69 301 H Marquette BE (16-13, 95.1) 65-69 306 A DePaul BE ( 8-24, 93.6) 69-55 307 H Villanova BE (25- 8, 96.3) 65-73
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 H Howard 56-68 -12 0 -1.61
1110 A Ce Connecticut 65-40 25 4 0.00
1115 A Boston Col 70-61 9 1 0.66
1118 A Northeastern 50-45 5 2 0.00
1121 A Yale 75-64 11 2 0.26
1124 H Middle Tenn 48-54 -6 0 - -2.19
1125 A Alcorn St 64-33 31 2 0.28
1130 A Bryant 62-53 9 1 1.32
1204 H Xavier 47-61 -14 0 - -2.42
1207 H St. John's 55-62 -7 -1 -0.97
1210 H Rhode Island 51-57 -6 -2 -0.17
1221 A Georgetown 68-61 7 0 + 2.26
1228 H So Carolina 55-96 -41 -5 0.00
1231 H Connecticut 53-90 -37 -5 0.00
104 A DePaul 69-59 10 1 1.33
108 H Seton Hall 48-58 -10 -1 -0.80
111 H Villanova 55-85 -30 -2 0.00
114 H Butler 52-62 -10 0 - -2.00
114 H Butler 52-62 -10 0 - -2.00
117 A Creighton 80-77 3 -1 + 2.80
120 H Seton Hall 57-73 -16 -1 -0.80
127 H Villanova 68-83 -15 -2 0.00
131 H St. John's 57-62 -5 -1 -0.97
204 H Marquette 61-78 -17 -1 -1.14
208 A Xavier 66-50 16 0 1.60
211 A Butler 73-64 9 0 + 2.02
214 A Georgetown 59-54 5 0 + 2.26
218 A DePaul 66-60 6 1 1.33
222 H Connecticut 38-81 -43 -5 0.00
226 H Creighton 49-69 -20 -1 -1.22
301 H Marquette 65-69 -4 -1 -1.14
306 A DePaul 69-55 14 1 1.33
307 H Villanova 65-73 -8 -2 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1124 H Middle Tenn 48-54 -6 0 - -2.19 1204 H Xavier 47-61 -14 0 - -2.42 114 H Butler 52-62 -10 0 - -2.00 114 H Butler 52-62 -10 0 - -2.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1221 A Georgetown 68-61 7 0 + 2.26 117 A Creighton 80-77 3 -1 + 2.80 211 A Butler 73-64 9 0 + 2.02 214 A Georgetown 59-54 5 0 + 2.26 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Howard (26- 8, 94.6) 56-68 -5.27 5.69 -0.01 0.92 -2.43
3 A Ce Connecticut ( 2-21, 89.9) 65-40 -9.99 1.00 0.01 0.92 1.86
3 A Boston Col ( 5-26, 92.9) 70-61 -7.02 3.94 0.01 0.92 7.27
3 A Northeastern ( 8-21, 92.1) 50-45 -7.80 3.16 0.01 0.92 5.83
3 A Yale ( 7-20, 92.5) 75-64 -7.41 3.55 0.01 0.92 6.54
3 H Middle Tenn (17-15, 94.1) 48-54 -5.85 5.11 -0.01 0.92 -2.69
3 A Alcorn St (16-14, 92.5) 64-33 -7.39 3.57 0.01 0.92 6.58
3 A Bryant (17-11, 93.5) 62-53 -6.36 4.60 0.01 0.92 8.48
3 H Xavier (11-19, 93.8) 47-61 -6.08 4.88 -0.01 0.92 -2.80
3 H St. John's (21-12, 95.3) 55-62 -4.63 6.33 -0.01 0.92 -2.13
3 H Rhode Island (28- 5, 96.1) 51-57 -3.83 7.13 -0.01 0.92 -1.77
3 A Georgetown (13-17, 94.5) 68-61 -5.41 5.55 0.01 0.92 10.22
3 H So Carolina (35- 4, 99.2) 55-96 -0.74 10.22 -0.01 0.92 -0.34
3 H Connecticut (38- 1, 99.3) 53-90 -0.55 10.41 -0.01 0.92 -0.26
3 A DePaul ( 8-24, 93.6) 69-59 -6.35 4.61 0.01 0.92 8.50
3 H Seton Hall (20-13, 95.4) 48-58 -4.46 6.51 -0.01 0.92 -2.05
3 H Villanova (25- 8, 96.3) 55-85 -3.60 7.36 -0.01 0.92 -1.66
3 H Butler (13-19, 94.2) 52-62 -5.66 5.30 -0.01 0.92 -2.61
3 H Butler (13-19, 94.2) 52-62 -5.66 5.30 -0.01 0.92 -2.61
3 A Creighton (15-15, 95.0) 80-77 -4.88 6.08 0.01 0.92 11.20
3 H Seton Hall (20-13, 95.4) 57-73 -4.46 6.51 -0.01 0.92 -2.05
3 H Villanova (25- 8, 96.3) 68-83 -3.60 7.36 -0.01 0.92 -1.66
3 H St. John's (21-12, 95.3) 57-62 -4.63 6.33 -0.01 0.92 -2.13
3 H Marquette (16-13, 95.1) 61-78 -4.80 6.16 -0.01 0.92 -2.21
3 A Xavier (11-19, 93.8) 66-50 -6.08 4.88 0.01 0.92 9.00
3 A Butler (13-19, 94.2) 73-64 -5.66 5.30 0.01 0.92 9.77
3 A Georgetown (13-17, 94.5) 59-54 -5.41 5.55 0.01 0.92 10.22
3 A DePaul ( 8-24, 93.6) 66-60 -6.35 4.61 0.01 0.92 8.50
3 H Connecticut (38- 1, 99.3) 38-81 -0.55 10.41 -0.01 0.92 -0.26
3 H Creighton (15-15, 95.0) 49-69 -4.88 6.08 -0.01 0.92 -2.25
3 H Marquette (16-13, 95.1) 65-69 -4.80 6.16 -0.01 0.92 -2.21
3 A DePaul ( 8-24, 93.6) 69-55 -6.35 4.61 0.01 0.92 8.50
3 H Villanova (25- 8, 96.3) 65-73 -3.60 7.36 -0.01 0.92 -1.66
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76.68
|
winning pts = 112.4578 losing points = -35.7774
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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